Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
5.75¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 5.75%
$2.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria directly match the question. Resolution hinges on the first person to be formally nominated for Vice President by the Republican Party in 2028 who accepts the nomination, verified via official GOP sources including the party's website. The rules clarify that any later replacement of the nominee prior to election day does not alter the outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Marjorie Taylor Greene will become the Republican Party's vice-presidential nominee for the 2028 U.S. presidential election cycle. Resolution is fixed to the first person to formally accept the nomination, even if they are later replaced before election day.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Marjorie Taylor Greene is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accept, or if Marjorie Taylor Greene is not that person. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the market's resolution. Resolution will be determined by a consensus of official GOP sources, including the official Republican Party website.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official GOP sources, including the official Republican Party website
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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