Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
1.35¢
−0.25¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.35%
$888.4 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that the market resolves based on the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Republican Party in the 2028 cycle and accepts the nomination. Official party channels, including the primary party website, serve as the named resolution source. There is also an explicit clause noting that any subsequent replacement of the nominee will not alter the initial resolution outcome, leaving very little room for unexpected interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Sarah Huckabee Sanders will be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee. Resolution depends strictly on the first person to be formally nominated and accept, regardless of any subsequent replacements before election day.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Sarah Huckabee Sanders is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution. Resolution is decided by a consensus of official GOP sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official GOP sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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