Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
1.2¢
+0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.2%
$1.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly specify that the outcome hinges on the first person to be formally nominated for Vice President by the Republican Party for the 2028 cycle and accept the nomination. Resolution relies on official Republican Party sources, including the party's official website. A standard clause clarifies that subsequent replacements after the initial formal nomination will not alter the outcome, leaving very little room for ambiguity or unexpected resolution mechanics.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Eric Trump becomes the Republican nominee for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle. Notably, the market locks in based on the first accepted formal nomination, and any replacement before election day is disregarded.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Eric Trump is the first individual formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if anyone other than Eric Trump is the first person to formally receive and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the nominee prior to election day does not change the resolution. The outcome is determined by a consensus of official GOP sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official GOP sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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