Will Ron DeSantis be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
2.2¢
+0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.2%
$1.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market clearly defines resolution around the first person to receive and accept the formal Republican Party vice-presidential nomination for the 2028 cycle. Resolution relies on official Republican Party sources, including the party website, which provides unambiguous documentation of formal convention outcomes. An explicit clause clarifies that any subsequent replacement of the nominee later in the campaign will not alter the initial resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ron DeSantis becomes the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nominee. Resolution depends strictly on the first person to formally accept the nomination, meaning any later replacement before election day is disregarded.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Ron DeSantis is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if someone else is the first individual to be formally nominated and accept the nomination. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the resolution. A consensus of official GOP sources decides the outcome.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
Consensus of official GOP sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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