Will Ivanka Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Last captured price
3.5¢
−0.25¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.5%
$688.1 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define the outcome based on the first individual who is formally nominated by the Republican Party and accepts the vice-presidential nomination for the 2028 cycle. Resolution relies on official Republican Party sources, including the official GOP website, to verify the formal nomination, which is a well-documented public event with clear party procedures. The clause specifying that subsequent nominee replacements will not alter the outcome is standard and clearly stated.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ivanka Trump will be formally nominated and accept the Republican Party's nomination for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Ivanka Trump is the first person formally nominated for Vice President by the Republican Party in the 2028 election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves to No if another individual is the first formally nominated and accepts, or if Ivanka Trump is not the nominee. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the resolution. The outcome is determined by a consensus of official GOP sources, including the official GOP website.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official GOP sources, including the official GOP website
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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