PolymarketCloses · in 750 daysPart of Republican VP Nominee 2028 →

Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

Current price

0.7¢

±0¢ · 24h

Implied probability 0.7%
$1.9K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 0.65–1.15¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

Resolution is straightforward and relies on official Republican Party announcements, including the national party website, to identify the first person who formally receives and accepts the vice-presidential nomination for the 2028 cycle. Participants should note that if the initial nominee steps down or is replaced before the general election, the market still resolves based on that first accepted formal nomination.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

High tradability

Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.

Book depth $128.2K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
0.68¢0.69¢0.7¢0.71¢0.72¢22:4606:4514:4322:41
0.6¢0.8¢1¢1.2¢Oct 12Oct 15Oct 17Oct 19
0¢5¢10¢15¢Aug 3Aug 29Sep 24Oct 19

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether Tulsi Gabbard will become the Republican Vice-Presidential nominee for the 2028 presidential election. The outcome is tied strictly to the first accepted formal nomination and will not be altered if the nominee is subsequently replaced before election day.

How it resolves

The market resolves Yes if Tulsi Gabbard is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first formally nominated candidate to accept the nomination. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution. The outcome is decided by a consensus of official GOP sources, including the official GOP website.

Key dates

No key dates are identified in this explainer.

Resolution source

A consensus of official GOP sources, including the official GOP website

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Community forecast

Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.