Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?
Current price
0.85¢
−0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.85%
$261.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules are explicit and leave virtually no room for subjective interpretation. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT candle reaches or exceeds $102,500 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31, and to No otherwise. A single, direct URL to the exact Binance trading pair and chart setting is provided as the exclusive resolution source, explicitly ruling out other exchanges, pairs, or spot markets.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $102,500 at any point during October. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance 1-minute candle data for the BTC/USDT pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair shows a final High price equal to or greater than $102,500 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $102,500 during that timeframe. Resolution is determined solely using price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair on the 1-minute chart. Prices from other exchanges, alternative trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Measurement period start: — 00:00 AM ET
- Measurement period end: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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