Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?
Current price
0.85¢
−0.4¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.85%
$509.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify an objective threshold and a single named data source. Resolution relies directly on the 1-minute candle Low prices for the Binance BTC/USDT pair between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any 1-minute candle hits $60,000 or below within that window, and otherwise resolves to No. Data from other exchanges or trading pairs is explicitly excluded, leaving no room for source discretion or ambiguous timing.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin's price on Binance reaches $60,000 or lower during October. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance's 1-minute candle data for the BTC/USDT pair, ignoring prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT from 00:00 AM ET on October 1 to 11:59 PM ET on October 31 has a final Low price equal to or lower than $60,000. It resolves to No otherwise. Resolution is based solely on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart; prices from other exchanges, different pairs, or spot markets are not considered.
Key dates
- Period start: — 00:00 AM ET
- Period end: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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