Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?
Current price
17.5¢
+2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 17.5%
$443.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is determined exclusively by the final High price on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart during the specified month and timezone (00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last day). The market resolves immediately to Yes if any 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $90,000, and otherwise resolves to No. The single data source and exact trading pair are clearly defined, leaving no room for decider discretion or ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high price of at least $90,000 during October. Resolution relies strictly on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data rather than any other exchange or trading pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $90,000 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, and prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October.
- End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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