Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?
Current price
10.5¢
−3¢ · 24h
Implied probability 10.5%
$297.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules are clearly defined with an objective threshold, clear timeframe, and a specific named source. Resolution depends entirely on the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low price on Binance during October (Eastern Time), with early resolution to Yes if the price touches or falls below $72,500. There is no decider discretion or ambiguous phrasing.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price drops to or below $72,500 during October. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle Low prices from a specific Binance trading pair, ignoring all other exchanges or markets.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $72,500 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves to No otherwise. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data serves as the sole deciding source, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Period start: — 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October
- Period end: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October
Resolution source
Binance (BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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