Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear, objective criteria tied directly to a single named source and specific chart settings. Resolution is based entirely on whether any Binance one-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair shows a Low price at or below $82,500 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The rules explicitly exclude data from other exchanges or trading pairs, as well as any price action prior to market creation, leaving virtually no room for discretionary interpretation or unexpected outcomes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin drops to $82,500 or lower during October. It relies strictly on 1-minute candle data from a specific Binance trading pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair shows a final Low price equal to or lower than $82,500 between the market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. Price action occurring prior to the market's creation does not count. The market resolves to No if the price does not reach or fall below this threshold within the specified timeframe. Resolution is determined solely using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart data, ignoring all other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- Market observation end: — Observation window ends at 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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