Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?
Current price
1¢
−0.3¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1%
$588.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly defined with an objective threshold, an exact time window (ET timezone), and an immediate early resolution trigger upon hitting the target. Resolution relies entirely on a single, specific data feed: the 1-minute candle Low price for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance. Other exchanges and pairs are explicitly excluded, leaving minimal room for ambiguity or administrative discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) reaches a low price of $62,500 or lower on Binance during the month of October.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31 records a final Low price equal to or lower than $62,500. It resolves to No if no such 1-minute candle reaches that threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance BTC/USDT price data on the 1-minute chart, disregarding all other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET
- End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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