Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?
Outcome
Yes
Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.
Yes price before close
- 7 days before close
- Not captured
- 24 hours before close
- Not captured
- 1 hour before close
- Not captured
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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This market relies on clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation. Resolution is determined solely by the final low price of any 1-minute candle on the Binance BTC/USDT pair between the market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October. A specific URL and chart configuration are provided, eliminating ambiguity and source discretion. Participants should note that only the Binance BTC/USDT pair counts, so price movements on other exchanges or pairs will not trigger a resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price drops to $82,500 or lower in October. It relies strictly on 1-minute candle Low prices from a specific Binance trading pair, ignoring all other exchanges and market creation-preceding data.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $82,500 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October. Price action occurring before the creation of the market is excluded. The market resolves to No if no such candle meets or falls below this threshold during that timeframe. Resolution relies solely on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart; other trading pairs, spot markets, or exchanges are not considered.
Key dates
- Market observation end: — End of observation window at 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.