Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?
Current price
1.45¢
−0.55¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.45%
$538.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules are unambiguous and establish precise criteria for resolution. The outcome is determined entirely by numerical data from a single designated source and trading pair: Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT candles during the exact calendar month specified in Eastern Time. The market features an immediate early resolution trigger if the low price touches or falls below $65,000, and otherwise resolves definitively at the end of the month without reliance on subjective decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin drops to $65,000 or lower on Binance during October. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle low prices on the Binance BTC/USDT pair, ignoring all other exchanges or pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $65,000 between October 1 at 00:00 AM ET and October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if no such candle reaches $65,000 or lower during that period. The resolution is determined solely using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart data, disregarding prices from any other trading pairs or exchanges.
Key dates
- Start of observation window: — 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October
- End of observation window: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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