Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?
Current price
8¢
+1.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 8%
$447.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market provides clear, objective criteria for resolution. It specifies the exact exchange, trading pair, chart interval (1-minute candles), and price metric (High price) to evaluate, along with precise start and end times in Eastern Time. Resolution occurs immediately upon reaching the threshold or defaults to No after the month ends. The source data is singular and leaves virtually no discretion to the decider, though participants should be aware that price spikes on other exchanges or different trading pairs will not trigger a resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high price of at least $92,500 on Binance during October. It resolves strictly on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices, excluding all other exchanges and pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $92,500 during October (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last day). The market resolves to No otherwise. Binance BTC/USDT chart data with the 1-minute candle setting determines the outcome. Prices from other exchanges, alternative trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Measurement period start: — 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October
- Measurement period end: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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