Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$960.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has clear and straightforward resolution mechanics. It relies directly on the official announcement from the award organiser, France Football, leaving minimal room for decider discretion or ambiguity. A specific deadline of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET is provided, with an explicit resolution condition if no winner is announced by that time.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Declan Rice will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or award. It includes a specific fallback provision resolving to Other if no award winner is officially declared by the end of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Declan Rice wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or. The market resolves to No if an individual other than Declan Rice is declared the winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or. The market resolves to Other if no 2026 Ballon d'Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The primary deciding source for this market is official information published by France Football.
Key dates
- Winner announcement cutoff: — Deadline for a 2026 Ballon d'Or winner to be declared before the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
France Football
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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