Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$764.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has straightforward resolution criteria tied directly to the official announcement from France Football, the governing body of the Ballon d'Or award. There is minimal interpretation required, and a clear deadline of December 31, 2026, ensures that any unexpected cancellation or delay of the award ceremony is handled cleanly without leaving resolution open-ended.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Achraf Hakimi will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or. A notable condition is the fallback provision that resolves the market to Other if no winner is officially announced before the end of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Achraf Hakimi is officially declared the winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or. The market resolves to No if someone else wins the award. The market resolves to Other if no winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or is declared by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Official information from France Football serves as the primary resolution source.
Key dates
- Winner declaration deadline: — Market resolves to Other if no winner is declared by this time
Resolution source
France Football
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