Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$1.6M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are straightforward and rely on an unambiguous official source, France Football, which administers and awards the Ballon d'Or. The deadline of December 31, 2026, accommodates the typical annual ceremony schedule, and there is a clear fallback resolution condition if no winner is announced by that time.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jude Bellingham will be named the winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Jude Bellingham wins the 2026 Ballon d’Or. The market resolves to No if a different candidate wins the 2026 Ballon d’Or. The market resolves to Other if no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined using official information from France Football.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Deadline for a 2026 Ballon d'Or winner to be declared before resolving to Other.
Resolution source
France Football
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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