Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Current price
0.15¢
−0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$3.7M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market has unambiguous resolution terms tied directly to the official organizer, France Football. The outcome relies on a singular, publicly announced award winner. A clear backstop deadline of December 31, 2026, provides an explicit fallback if the award is not presented or is canceled, leaving minimal room for decider latitude or interpretive dispute.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ousmane Dembélé will be awarded the 2026 Ballon d'Or.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Ousmane Dembélé is declared the winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or. The market resolves No if another individual wins the award. The market resolves to Other if no 2026 Ballon d'Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Official information from France Football serves as the primary resolution source.
Key dates
- Winner declaration deadline: — If no winner is announced by this time, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
France Football
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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