Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$938K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market has unambiguous resolution terms tied to a well-defined official award. The outcome is determined by the official announcement from France Football, the governing publication of the Ballon d'Or. There is a precise backstop deadline of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, with clear instructions on how the market settles if no award ceremony or winner is announced by that time.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Portuguese footballer Vitinha will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or award.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Vitinha is declared the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. The market resolves to No if a different individual is declared the winner. The market resolves to Other if no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Official information from France Football serves as the primary resolution source.
Key dates
- Winner declaration deadline: — The market resolves to Other if no winner has been declared by this time.
Resolution source
France Football
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