Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$2.3M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the resolution source as the calendar gross column on Box Office Mojo's 2026 page once December 31 data is published. The rules also clarify that this measures domestic calendar gross earned strictly within 2026 rather than worldwide gross or total lifetime gross of films released that year. An alphabetical tiebreaker is predefined, and a backup source deadline is set for January 7, 2027, leaving very little decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the film Wuthering Heights achieves the highest domestic calendar gross in 2026. Only box office earnings strictly within calendar year 2026 are counted toward the total.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Wuthering Heights has the highest gross listed in the 2026 domestic calendar gross table once December 31 data is available. If there is an exact tie for the highest gross, the film appearing first alphabetically wins. The market resolves to No if any other film has a higher 2026 domestic calendar gross, or beats Wuthering Heights in an exact tie alphabetically. Box Office Mojo serves as the primary resolution source. If final data is not available from the primary source by January 7, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, another credible source will be selected to determine the outcome.
Key dates
- Data availability deadline: — Deadline for final Box Office Mojo data before an alternative credible source is selected.
Resolution source
Box Office Mojo
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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