Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$2.5M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on an objective, named primary source URL (Box Office Mojo's 2026 calendar gross table). The rules explicitly define that only domestic calendar gross within 2026 counts, rather than lifetime or worldwide box office. A straightforward tie-breaking mechanism (alphabetical order) is defined, and a specific fallback deadline (January 7, 2027) is provided in case the primary website does not publish final year-end figures in time. Overall, the market mechanics provide clear expectations with minimal room for subjective judgment.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Scream 7 will have the highest domestic calendar gross of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Scream 7 ranks as the highest-grossing film of 2026 according to Box Office Mojo once December 31 data is available. The market resolves No if any other film holds the top domestic calendar gross. In the event of an exact tie in gross earnings, the film that appears first alphabetically is deemed the winner. Earnings outside of calendar year 2026 are excluded from the total. Resolution relies on Box Office Mojo's 2026 calendar gross data, or another credible resolution source if final data is unavailable by January 7, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.
Key dates
- Gross tracking end date: — Grosses on or before this date within 2026 count toward the total.
- Data availability fallback deadline: — If no final data is available by 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source
Box Office Mojo
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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