Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$955.4K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify an exact web page on Box Office Mojo and column to determine the outcome once December 31 data is published, alongside an explicit fallback deadline and tiebreaker. However, someone reading only the title might expect the market to measure total worldwide box office or the full lifetime run of films released in 2026, whereas the rules strictly limit measurement to domestic calendar gross earned exclusively within the 2026 calendar year.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether "The Odyssey" will have the highest domestic calendar box office gross in 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if "The Odyssey" achieves the highest 2026 domestic calendar gross. The market resolves to No if any other film achieves the highest 2026 domestic calendar gross. Box office revenue earned outside of the 2026 calendar year does not count toward the total. In the event of an exact tie for the top gross, the film that comes first alphabetically will be deemed the winner. Resolution is determined using the Gross column on Box Office Mojo's 2026 calendar grosses page once December 31 data is available. If final data is not available by January 7, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Key dates
- Final data availability cutoff: — Cutoff at 11:59 PM ET for Box Office Mojo data before an alternate credible source is chosen.
Resolution source
Box Office Mojo
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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