Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$29.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are straightforward and follow standard election market mechanics. The outcome is determined by three named media outlets (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) unanimously projecting the winner, with a clear fallback to official state certification if unanimous calls are not reached. There is also an explicit longstop deadline of July 31, 2027, resolving to an alternate outcome if the result remains unconfirmed.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Edna DeVries wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election. It includes a specific consensus requirement among major news networks and a fallback resolution date.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Edna DeVries wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the election results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027. Resolution is decided by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources do not call the race for the same candidate, the market resolves based on official certification.
Key dates
- Election day: — Date the gubernatorial election is currently scheduled
- Confirmation deadline: — Market resolves to Other if results are not confirmed by this date
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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