EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →
Politics markets
1,140 live Polymarket markets in 448 eventsHide Low tradability448 cards · 1,140 markets
- LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks4.25¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.1–4.75¢ - LowGotcha
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver14.35¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 13.55–15.15¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver2.1¢−0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.95–2.7¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.05¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.85–1.6¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Change in points, 24hView event →2 · 7 daysFlat at 90% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver5.5¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks33¢+2.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 30.5–34.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jon Ossoff (D) · 7 daysFlat at 96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-15 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bobby Pulido (D) · 7 daysRange 81–83% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brian Fitzpatrick (R) · 7 daysFlat at 63% - MedGotcha
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording1.15¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.85–1.25¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver2¢−2.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.75–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-14 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Kathy Castor (D) · 7 daysRange 67–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
AR-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Steve Womack (R) · Since Oct 18Range 94–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MI-10 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Christina Hines (D) · 7 daysRange 65–66% - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 12 PTS
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver64.5¢+14¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NO CLEAR CATALYSTNo headline in the hours around the move explains it.5 headlines checked - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) · 7 daysRange 48–52% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OH-14 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →David Joyce (R) · 7 daysRange 94–97% - LowGotcha
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks58¢+1.5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 56–58¢ - LowGotcha
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMTiming27.5¢−2¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 27.05–30.1¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Murphy (R) · 7 daysRange 81–85% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ty Masterson (R) · 7 daysRange 75–76% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
HI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jill Tokuda (D) · Since 00:56 UTCRange 94–96% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks6.25¢+0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.3–6.8¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-08 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver5.65¢+1.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 3–5.75¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-17 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Cait Conley (D) · 7 daysRange 59–61% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-15 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming4.05¢+0.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–4.8¢ - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tom Suozzi (D) · 7 daysRange 87–90% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OR-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▲ 12 PTS
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming23.95¢+4.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 14.3–28.1¢ · explanation pending - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-16 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mike Kelly (R) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MD-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Andy Harris (R) · 7 daysRange 85–94% - EVENT · 22 OUTCOMES
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins79%±0Bernadette Wilson22%±0David Bronson<1%±0Treg Taylor<1%±0Click Bishop<1%±0+17 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CA-23 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jay Obernolte (R) · 7 daysRange 94–98% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Deb Haaland (D) · 7 daysRange 91–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CA-06 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Democratic Party · 7 daysRange 94–97% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bill Hagerty (R) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - LowGotcha
Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks31¢−3.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 30.5–34.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions2.4¢+0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.25–2.45¢ - MedGotcha
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMExceptionsResolver3.05¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 3.05¢ - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NM-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Gabe Vasquez (D) · 7 daysRange 92–93% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate and Governor Combo
Change in points, 24hView event →Dems sweep · Since Oct 14Range 47–53% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver28¢+4¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 24–28¢