2028 Presidential Election: Arkansas Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Republican Party at 92% · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $905.6 total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2028 US Presidential Election in Arkansas. Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the most valid statewide votes in the state.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains one market per party or candidate. Because resolution is based on which candidate wins the most statewide votes in Arkansas, at most one market can resolve Yes. If results cannot be determined by the deadline, the market resolves to "Other".
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if its specified party's nominee (or named independent candidate) receives the most valid statewide votes in Arkansas in the 2028 presidential election, regardless of electoral college distribution. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If any source does not make calls, it is struck; if consensus is not reached, resolution relies on certified election results reported by the state government. If results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, it resolves to "Other".
Key dates
- Expected Election Day: — Date the 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place.
- Definitive determination deadline: — Results must be determined by 11:59 PM ET on this date, or the market resolves to "Other".
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified results from the state government
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican Party | 92% | — | Low | Med | |
| Democratic Party | 9% | — | Low | Med |