Next Prime Minister of Italy?
4 live outcomes · highest priced: Giorgia Meloni at 52% (+2 pts in 24h) · first close Dec 31, 2028 · $110.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will become the next Prime Minister of Italy by the end of 2028. Markets measure individual candidates who may be appointed and sworn into the office.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing individual candidates for the office. Because resolution requires being the next individual to officially assume the office of Prime Minister, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes. If no listed individual takes office by the deadline, the outcome resolves to Other.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if the named candidate is the next individual to officially assume the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. The individual must be officially appointed and sworn in. Interim or caretaker Prime Ministers do not qualify. If no qualifying individual takes office by the deadline, the market resolves to Other.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Deadline is 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Italy, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgia Meloni | 52% | ▲ 2 | Med | Low | |
| Roberto Vannacci | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Silvia Salis | 3% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Matteo Salvini | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Matteo Renzi | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Carlo Calenda | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Guido Crosetto | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Antonio Tajani | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Mario Draghi | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Elly Schlein | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Giuseppe Conte | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Angelo Bonelli | — | — | Not rated | — |