Mexico Legislative Election Winner
6 live outcomes · highest priced: Morena at 89% · first close Jun 7, 2027 · $117.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2027 Mexico legislative election. Markets measure which political party will win the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados).
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific political party competing in the election. Because resolution is determined by which single party wins the most seats (with tiebreaker rules in place), at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if its specified political party wins the greatest number of seats in the Chamber of Deputies in the June 6, 2027 election. If parties tie for the most seats, the tiebreaker is the higher number of valid votes, followed by alphabetical order of party abbreviation. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting or, if ambiguous, official results from the National Electoral Institute (INE). If results are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Key dates
- Election Date: — Scheduled date of the Mexico legislative election.
- Resolution Deadline: — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET; if results are not definitively known, market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or official results reported by the Mexican Government via the National Electoral Institute (INE).
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morena | 89% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| PAN | 5% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| PRI | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| MC | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| PT | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| PVEM | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |