Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
15 live outcomes · highest priced: China at 79% · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $1.8M total volume
About this event
This event tracks where Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will next meet in person during the period leading up to the end of 2026. Its markets measure specific potential countries or geographic categories for the location of their next encounter, as well as the possibility of no meeting.
How the outcomes relate
The markets represent mutually exclusive geographic locations and a negative outcome option. Because the rules specify resolving according to the location of the next meeting, at most one outcome can resolve Yes, while all other locations will resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if the first qualifying in-person meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin takes place in the specified location between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting requires both individuals to be present and engage in clear direct interaction, such as a handshake, direct conversation, or verbal exchange; mere proximity or sharing a room without direct interaction does not qualify. If no qualifying meeting occurs by the deadline, the 'No meeting by December 31' outcome resolves Yes.
Key dates
- End date: — December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline for a qualifying meeting to occur.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 79% | — | Med | Med | |
| No meeting by December 31 | 16% | ▼ 3 | Med | Med | |
| United States | 4% | ▲ 1 | Med | Low | |
| Russia | 1% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Other | <1% | ▼ 1 | Med | Med | |
| Turkey | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Gulf country | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Switzerland | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Belarus | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Finland | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| South Korea | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Japan | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Australia | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Other EU country | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Ukraine | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low |