Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
Current price
0.1¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.1%
$82K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market asks about a meeting in 'another EU country,' which is phrasing typically seen in multi-choice markets and leaves ambiguous what baseline country 'another' excludes, while the text also includes an irrelevant definition of Gulf states copied from another variant. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an official registry or named source to verify both the location and whether an encounter involved direct verbal or personal interaction rather than mere proximity. If no qualifying meeting occurs before the end of 2026, the market resolves to a designated non-occurrence outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the next in-person meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin takes place in an EU country by the end of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin next meet in person in another EU country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting requires both individuals to be present and engage in clear direct interaction, such as a handshake, direct conversation, or spoken exchange; sharing a room, eye contact, or proximity without interaction does not qualify. The market resolves to No meeting by December 31 if no qualifying encounter occurs within the timeframe. A consensus of credible reporting decides the resolution.
Key dates
- End date: — December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
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