Geopolitics markets

9 live Polymarket markets in 4 events

Hide Low tradability Clear filters4 cards · 9 markets

HighGotcha
BIG MOVE · ▼ 25 PTS
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ExceptionsResolver
45.5¢+1¢ 24h
WHY IT MOVED · RELATED OUTCOMES6 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: October 28 (up), October 31 (up), November 8 (down).
Closes Nov 30Med tradability$14.1K 24h vol
EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202726%▲ 1 December 3113%▲ 1 November 307%±0 October 312%±0
Change in points, 24hView event →
$22.9K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Nov 1
HighGotcha
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ExceptionsResolver
9.5¢+1.5¢ 7d
7 daysRange 7.5–9.5¢
Med tradability$75.4 24h vol
EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Iran leader end of 2026?
Masoud Pezeshkian<1%±0 Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf<1%±0 Sadegh Larijani<1%±0
Change in points, 24hView event →
Masoud Pezeshkian · 7 daysFlat at <1%
$64.5 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Dec 31