PolymarketEvent2 live of 11 outcomes

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

2 live outcomes · highest priced: $400M at 82% · first close Jan 1, 2028 · $7.1M total volume

About this event

This event tracks the fully diluted valuation (FDV) of Predict.fun's governance token one day after its launch. Markets measure whether the token's FDV exceeds specific dollar valuation thresholds at the designated post-launch measurement time.

How the outcomes relate

The event consists of a ladder of valuation thresholds. Because each market checks if the FDV is above a specific dollar figure, more than one market can resolve Yes if the token's FDV exceeds multiple threshold levels.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the specified dollar threshold at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. Otherwise, it resolves to No. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price from the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the markets resolve to No.

Key dates

  • Token launch deadline: — Markets resolve to No if no token launches by 11:59 PM ET on this date

Resolution source

The most liquid price source available

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
$400M82%—MedMed
$800M50%▼ 3MedMed
$50M——MedHigh
$100M——MedMed
$200M——MedMed
$300M——MedMed
$500M——MedMed
$600M——MedMed
$1B——MedMed
$1.5B——Not ratedMed
$2B——Not rated—