Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the exact valuation formula, launch criteria, and a concrete evaluation timestamp at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the launch. However, the resolution relies on 'the most liquid price source available' rather than a named aggregator or exchange, leaving room for interpretation regarding which trading venue qualifies as the most liquid and what exact price snapshot is recorded at the designated time.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market predicts whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Predict.fun's governance token will exceed $100 million one day after its launch. The market's resolution depends on the token's launch and its FDV at a specific time.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than $100 million. This FDV is calculated one day after the token's launch, specifically at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched. The FDV is determined by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The market resolves No if the FDV is not greater than $100 million at the specified time. The market also resolves No if Predict.fun does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.
Key dates
- Token launch deadline: — If Predict.fun does not launch a token by this date, the market resolves No.
Resolution source
the most liquid price source available
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