Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The market clearly defines the requirements for resolution: the person must be elected by the National Assembly and formally sworn in as Prime Minister, explicitly excluding unelected interim or caretaker leaders. Resolution relies primarily on a consensus of credible media reporting, with official Serbian government publications serving as the backup source in case of ambiguity. If no individual meets the criteria by June 30, 2028, the market defaults to resolving to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Miloš Vučević will become the next Prime Minister of Serbia. Resolution requires the individual to be formally elected by the National Assembly and sworn in, excluding interim or caretaker appointees who are not elected.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Miloš Vučević officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, after being elected by the National Assembly and formally sworn in to form a new government. The market resolves No if another individual officially assumes the office through this process first. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly does not count. The market resolves to Other if no eligible Prime Minister takes office by the deadline. A consensus of credible reporting decides resolution, with official Serbian government information used if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Deadline for the next Prime Minister to assume office
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with official information from the Serbian government as the final authority
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.