Largest Company end of December 2026?
8 live outcomes · highest priced: NVIDIA at 67% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $8.6M total volume
About this event
This event tracks which company will hold the title of the largest company in the world by market capitalization at the end of December 2026. Each individual market corresponds to a specific candidate company.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains mutually exclusive markets representing individual companies. Because the rules state the event resolves to the single largest company in the world by market cap at market close on the specified date, at most one market can resolve Yes, while all other markets resolve No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the named company is the largest company in the world by market capitalization as of market close on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting. The rules across the markets are identical.
Key dates
- Measurement Date: — Market close on December 31, 2026
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA | 67% | ▲ 1 | Med | Med | |
| Apple | 28% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Alphabet | 2% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Microsoft | <1% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| SpaceX | <1% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Tesla | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Amazon | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low |