EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →
Ashley Hinson (R) · 7 daysRange 57–59%
Politics markets
1,110 live Polymarket markets in 427 events- EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
WA-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Michael Baumgartner (R) · 7 daysRange 82–89% - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Next Premier of British Columbia
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New York Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Kathy Hochul (D) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - LowGotcha
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks24.5¢−6.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 24–31¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-19 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-13 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brad Knott (R) · Since Oct 17Range 86–89% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mike Rounds (R) · 7 daysRange 92–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jocelyn Benson (D) · 7 daysRange 93–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Darline Graham Nordone (R) · 7 daysRange 85–86% - EVENT · 9 OUTCOMES
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner
+4 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MO-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ann Wagner (R) · 7 daysRange 74–78% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Peggy Flanagan (D) · 7 daysRange 87–88% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Rob Sand (D) · 7 daysRange 88–91% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Spain General Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →PP · 7 daysRange 85–87% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver0.45¢−4.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.35–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →John McGuire (R) · 7 daysRange 68–77% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →David Crowley (D) · 7 daysRange 81–82% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Nick LaLota (R) · Since Oct 14Range 85–86% - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.9¢+0.65¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.7–2.9¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Jackson 3-6% · Since Oct 17Range 27–33% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OK-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Stephanie Bice (R) · Since Oct 17Range 87–89% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.3¢−7.7¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.25–12.05¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Elaine Luria (D) · 7 daysRange 87–91% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Roger Marshall (R) · 7 daysRange 63–64% - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.95¢+0.55¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.7–2.95¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate61%±0No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate34%±0Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate3%±0Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate3%±0Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
WI-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bryan Steil (R) · 7 daysRange 62–64% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-09 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Richard Hudson (R) · Since Oct 17Flat at 82% - LowGotcha
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver99¢+0.35¢ 7d7 daysRange 98.15–99.1¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver25.5¢±0¢ since Oct 15Since Oct 15Flat at 25.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks9.5¢+3¢ 7d7 daysRange 6.5–9.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tom Cotton (R) · 7 daysRange 94–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
AR-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →French Hill (R) · 7 daysRange 82–85% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NJ-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jeff Van Drew (R) · Since Oct 17Range 84–85% - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks9.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 9.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks4.25¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.1–4.75¢ - LowGotcha
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver14.35¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 13.55–15.15¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.05¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.85–1.6¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver5.5¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks33¢+2.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 30.5–34.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jon Ossoff (D) · 7 daysFlat at 96%