Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Current price
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Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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Liquidity
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Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
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Market explained
This market measures whether Carmel Sepuloni becomes the Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 general elections, specifically focusing on the first individual officially appointed to that role.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Carmel Sepuloni is officially appointed by the Governor-General as the Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 general elections. The market resolves No if someone other than Carmel Sepuloni is officially appointed by the Governor-General as the Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 general elections. An interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count for resolution. The market resolves Other if no Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution is determined by official information from the Government of New Zealand, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Scheduled Election Date:
- Market Close Date: — If no Prime Minister takes office by this date, the market resolves to 'Other'.
Resolution source
official information from the Government of New Zealand
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