Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Current price
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Liquidity
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Why it moved
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Resolution rules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
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Market explained
This market measures whether Nicola Willis becomes the Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 general elections, with a specific deadline for her appointment.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Nicola Willis is officially appointed as the Prime Minister of New Zealand by the Governor-General following the 2026 general elections. An interim or caretaker Prime Minister does not count for resolution. The market resolves No if someone other than Nicola Willis is officially appointed as the Prime Minister of New Zealand by the Governor-General following the 2026 general elections. The market resolves Other if no individual officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution is determined by official information from the Government of New Zealand, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Scheduled General Election:
- Resolution Deadline: — If no Prime Minister takes office by this date, the market resolves to 'Other'.
Resolution source
official information from the Government of New Zealand
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