Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: $1B at 8% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $6.9M total volume
About this event
This event evaluates the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of OpenSea's token one day after its launch. Markets measure whether the token's valuation surpasses specific threshold amounts at that point in time.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as a ladder of valuation thresholds. More than one market can resolve Yes, as any market with a threshold below the realized valuation will resolve Yes alongside lower-threshold markets.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of OpenSea's token exceeds the specified dollar amount at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. Otherwise, it resolves to No. A token launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. If OpenSea does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the markets will resolve to No.
Key dates
- Token launch deadline: — December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET is the deadline for OpenSea to launch a token before the markets resolve to No.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1B | 8% | ▲ 1 | Med | Med | |
| $2B | 4% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| $100M | — | — | Med | Low | |
| $100M | — | — | Med | Low | |
| $300M | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $500M | — | — | Med | Med | |
| $3B | — | — | Med | Med | |
| $5B | — | — | Med | Med |