Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the timing cutoff as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token becoming tradable, along with a definitive expiration date of December 31, 2026. However, resolution relies on the most liquid price source available without naming a specific exchange, aggregator, or metric for determining liquidity. Additionally, calculating the fully diluted valuation requires knowing the official maximum or total token supply, but the rules do not specify which tokenomics documentation or tracking platform will establish that supply figure at the evaluation timestamp.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether OpenSea's token achieves a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) above $5 billion one day after its launch. The market has a specific definition for what constitutes a token launch and the timing of the valuation measurement.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if OpenSea's token has a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) greater than $5 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. For a launch to be considered valid, the token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves No if the token's FDV is not greater than $5 billion at the specified time. The market also resolves No if OpenSea does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.
Key dates
- Market close date: — If no token launches by this date, the market resolves No.
Resolution source
the most liquid price source available
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