Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market evaluates the token's Fully Diluted Valuation at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. The resolution source is not a named aggregator or official database, but rather the most liquid price source available, leaving it to the decider to determine which exchange or platform meets that criteria. Furthermore, the rules do not specify the exact source for the total token supply used to calculate fully diluted valuation. There is a fixed deadline of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, after which the market resolves to No if no publicly tradable token has launched.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of OpenSea's token exceeds $100M one day after launch, requiring the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if OpenSea's token has a Fully Diluted Valuation greater than $100M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the valuation is not above $100M at that time, or if OpenSea does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The evaluation is determined using the most liquid price source available.
Key dates
- Token launch deadline: — Market resolves to No if no token launches by this time.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
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