PolymarketEvent1 live of 28 outcomes

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

1 live outcome · highest priced: Esthela Damián Peralta at 4% · first close Jun 7, 2027 · $99.8K total volume

About this event

This event covers the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election in Mexico. Markets track which candidate will win the election scheduled for June 6, 2027.

How the outcomes relate

Each market represents a specific candidate competing in the election. Because the event resolves according to the candidate who wins the gubernatorial race, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if the named candidate wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify. Resolution relies on election results indicated by a consensus of credible reporting, with official government sources (such as the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico) used if ambiguity arises. If results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".

Key dates

  • Scheduled Election Date: — Gubernatorial elections scheduled in Guerrero
  • Definitive Results Deadline: — Market resolves to "Other" if results are not known by 11:59 PM ET on this date

Resolution source

A consensus of credible reporting, or official government sources including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for Guerrero Governor Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Esthela Damián Peralta4%±0LowMed
Beatriz Mojica Morga——LowLow
Abelina López Rodríguez——LowLow
Félix Salgado Macedonio——Not rated—
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros——LowMed
Rogelio Ortega Martínez——Not rated—
Alberto López Rosas——LowLow
Iván Hernández Díaz——LowLow
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña——Not rated—
Rubén Cayetano García——Not rated—
Javier Saldaña Almazán——LowLow
Genaro Vázquez Flores——LowLow
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos——Not rated—
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez——Not rated—
Guadalupe Eguiluz——LowLow
Karen Castrejón Trujillo——Not ratedMed
Manuel Añorve Baños——Not ratedMed
Alejandro Bravo Abarca——Not ratedLow
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera——LowLow
Eloy Salmerón Díaz——LowLow
Yesenia Galarza Castro——Not ratedLow
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz——Not rated—
Mario Moreno Arcos——Not rated—
Héctor Astudillo Flores——Not rated—
Julián López Galeana——Not rated—
Erika Lorena Lührs——LowLow
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre——LowLow
Carlos Reyes Torres——Not ratedLow

Highest-priced outcome

Esthela Damián Peralta · 7 daysRange 3–5%