Will Genaro Vázquez Flores win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria clearly define what constitutes a win for the candidate in the June 2027 election, specifically excluding interim or caretaker appointments.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria clearly define what constitutes a win for the candidate in the June 2027 election, specifically excluding interim or caretaker appointments. The rules initially rely on a consensus of credible reporting but provide a concrete fallback to official Mexican electoral authorities if outcomes are disputed. A long buffer period through December 31, 2027 accommodates standard certification timelines, with an explicit rule to resolve to 'Other' if a definitive winner is not established by that cutoff.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Genaro Vázquez Flores will win the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Genaro Vázquez Flores wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker Governors do not qualify. The market resolves to No if another listed candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if definitive results are not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting. If ambiguity exists, official results from government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico, decide the outcome.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or officially reported results from government sources of Guerrero and Mexico (including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·