Will Eloy Salmerón Díaz win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market relies on standard election outcomes for the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race, with resolution based on credible reporting backed by official results from Mexico's National Electoral Institute and the local electoral institute.
Read the full assessment
The market relies on standard election outcomes for the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race, with resolution based on credible reporting backed by official results from Mexico's National Electoral Institute and the local electoral institute. A generous resolution window extending to December 31, 2027 provides ample buffer for standard election certification, vote counts, and legal challenges. Explicit exclusions for interim or caretaker governors prevent confusion if temporary appointments occur before or after the election. The fallback condition resolving to Other in the event of unresolved outcomes gives a clear conclusion mechanism without introducing unexpected loopholes.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Eloy Salmerón Díaz will win the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election. Resolution excludes any interim or caretaker governors and defaults to Other if definitive results are not available by the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Eloy Salmerón Díaz wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify. The market resolves No if another listed candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is determined by a consensus of credible reporting. If ambiguity exists, official results from government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico, will decide resolution.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with fallbacks to official results from government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·