Will Iván Hernández Díaz win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on who wins the scheduled 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on who wins the scheduled 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election. The outcome relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with a clear fallback to official results from Mexican electoral authorities including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute. There is a specific timeout clause resolving the market to Other if results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, and interim or caretaker appointments are explicitly excluded.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Iván Hernández Díaz wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election scheduled for June 6, 2027. Resolution includes a specific fallback to "Other" if results are not definitively known by the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Iván Hernández Díaz wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election. Any interim or caretaker Governor does not qualify. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to "Other" if the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, official results reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico—including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico—will decide the outcome.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·