Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules clearly define the winning condition around the scheduled June 2027 election, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker appointments.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules clearly define the winning condition around the scheduled June 2027 election, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker appointments. Resolution initially relies on a consensus of credible media reporting, but the rules provide a firm fallback to official results from state and national electoral authorities (IEPC Guerrero and INE) if ambiguity arises. A generous buffer until December 31, 2027 allows ample time for official certification, certification challenges, or recounts to conclude.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Beatriz Mojica Morga will win the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Beatriz Mojica Morga wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to "Other" if the election results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official government sources from Guerrero and Mexico (including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico) if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from government sources of Guerrero and Mexico (including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico).
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·