Will Javier Saldaña Almazán win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market follows standard election resolution mechanics for the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race.
Read the full assessment
This market follows standard election resolution mechanics for the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race. It resolves primarily through a consensus of credible media reporting, with an explicit fallback to official election authorities including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute if results are contested or unclear. A long resolution window extending to December 31, 2027, leaves ample time for official certification and legal challenges following the June election. Interim or caretaker governors are explicitly excluded.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Javier Saldaña Almazán will win the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election. Resolution excludes any interim or caretaker governors and defaults to "Other" if definitive results are delayed beyond the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Javier Saldaña Almazán wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. The market resolves to No if another listed candidate wins. The market resolves to "Other" if the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided based on a consensus of credible reporting, or solely by official government sources from Guerrero and Mexico (including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico) if there is ambiguity.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from government sources of Guerrero and Mexico (including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·