Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
3 live outcomes · highest priced: $150M at 65% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $4M total volume
About this event
This event tracks the fully diluted valuation (FDV) of Extended's token one day after its launch, measuring whether the FDV exceeds specific valuation thresholds.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as a ladder of valuation thresholds. More than one market can resolve Yes, as surpassing a higher valuation threshold implies surpassing lower thresholds as well.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the fully diluted valuation of Extended's token is greater than the specified target value at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. Otherwise, it resolves to No. For a launch to occur, the token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price, taken from the most liquid price source available. If Extended does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the markets resolve to No.
Key dates
- Token launch deadline: — December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $150M | 65% | ▲ 1 | Med | Low | |
| $500M | 19% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| $2B | 3% | ▼ 1 | Med | High | |
| $3B | 2% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| $800M | — | — | Med | Med | |
| $1B | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| $300M | — | — | Med | Med |