Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market provides a clear definition for the evaluation window, specifying 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, alongside a clear formula for calculating fully diluted valuation and a definitive expiration date of December 31, 2026. However, the resolution source is vaguely specified as the most liquid price source available rather than naming a dedicated price aggregator or exchange. If token prices fluctuate near the eight hundred million dollar threshold or vary across trading pairs, determining which venue qualifies as the most liquid is left to the resolver's judgment.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Extended's token exceeds $800 million one day after its launch. The market has a specific deadline for the token launch to occur.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Extended's token is greater than $800 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched. The FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The market resolves No if the FDV is not greater than $800 million at the specified time. The market also resolves No if Extended does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The most liquid price source available will be used to determine the token price for resolution.
Key dates
- Token Launch Deadline: — If Extended does not launch a token by this date, the market resolves No.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
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