Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
0.95¢
+0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.95%
$213.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution, referencing a single, unambiguous metric: the Low price of any 1-minute candle on the Binance SOL/USDT pair. The exact observation window is defined with specific timestamps in the Eastern Time zone, and the market resolves immediately to Yes if the target threshold of $20 or lower is touched, or No after the end date. The explicit exclusion of other exchanges or pairs leaves no room for source discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL) drops to $20 or lower between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, based strictly on Binance 1-minute candle data for the SOL/USDT trading pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET records a final Low price equal to or lower than $20. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or falls below $20 within this timeframe. Resolution relies solely on Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Observation window starts: — Window begins at 14:30 ET
- Observation window ends: — Window closes at 23:59 ET
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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